Emmy Predictions, Pt. 1 — Comedy and Vareity

The Emmys are Sunday night, so it's time for some fearless predictions. In Part One I tackle Comedy and Variety Series. In Part Two, I'll look at Drama and Limited Series (which are mostly dramas, too). The Emmys are Sunday night on ABC, so check it out to see how poorly my predictions do.

Comedy series:
“black-ish”
"Master of None”
“Modern Family”
“Silicon Valley”
“Transparent”
“Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt”
“Veep”

Will Win: black-ish — I think this comedy will get enough votes to push it over.
Should Win: VEEP — This, to me, is the best in a highly competitive category.

Lead actor in a comedy
Anthony Anderson, “black-ish”
Aziz Ansari, “Master of None”
Will Forte, “Last Man on Earth”
William H. Macy, “Shameless”
Thomas Middleditch, “Silicon Valley”
Jeffrey Tambor, “Transparent”

Will Win: Jeffrey Tambor — I think he's still a favorite among voters.
Should Win: Thomas Middleditch — "Silicon Valley" was a close second for me for best comedy, and Middleditch is a big reason why.


Lead actress in a comedy
Julia Louis-Dreyfus, “Veep”
Ellie Kemper, “The Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt”
Tracee Ellis Ross, “black-ish”
Laurie Metcalf, “Getting On”
Amy Schumer, “Inside Amy Schemer”
Lily Tomlin, "Grace & Frankie"

Will Win: Tracee Ellis Ross — Again, I think this year might belong to "black-ish"
Should Win: Julia Louis Dreyfuss — Yes, she wins a lot, but she's great.

Supporting actor in a comedy series
Louie Anderson, “Baskets”
Andre Braugher, “Brooklyn Nine-Nine”
Keegan-Michael Key, “Key & Peele”
Ty Burrell, “Modern Family”
Tituss Burgess, “Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt”
Tony Hale, “Veep”
Matt Walsh, “Veep”

Will and Should Win: Tony Hale — Again, I'm a "VEEP" fan. I thin he gets the nod here.

Supporting actress in a comedy series
Niecy Nash, “Getting On”
Allison Janney, “Mom”
Kate McKinnon, “Saturday Night Live”
Judith Light, “Transparent “
Gaby Hoffmann, “Transparent”
Anna Chlumsky, “Veep"

Will Win: Alison Janney — It's hard to argue with Janney, who's a consummate professional.
Should Win: Anna Chlumsky — the "My Girl" star had her best season on "VEEP" this year.

TV movie
“All the Way”
“Confirmation”
“Luther”
“Sherlock: The Abominable Bride”
“A Very Murray Christmas”

Will and Should Win: All the Way — I've actually seen all the nominees! Normally "Sherlock" is a no-brainer win, but this limited movie was just OK. I'm going with the LBJ movie that featured a great Bryan Cranston performance.