Academy Award Predictions

The 91st Academy Awards are tonight. Below is my prediction in all 24 categories. Tune in tonight, as the awards begin at 8 p.m. EST on ABC, to see how I did. And please feel free to leave your predictions below!

Best Picture:
* A Star is Born
* BlacKkKlansman
* Black Panther
* Bohemian Rhapsody
* Green Book
* Roma
* The Favourite
* Vice

About: This is the big award of the night. It will be the last one given out and will likely be the most unpredictable. Unlike other races, the Best Picture award is decided by preferential ballot. That means voters rank the films, one to eight, and the one with the highest cumulative score wins. So a film doesn't have to be No. 1 with most voters to claim the prize, it just has to be universally liked. And as such, the take on this year is split. If I was doing a preferential ballot, I'd rank them: A Star is Born, Black Panther, The Favourite, Roma, Green Book, BlacKkKlansman, Vice, Bohemian Rhapsody. I also don't think it's an incredibly strong year for Best Picture nominees, in fact my favorite scripted film of 2018 isn't even in the field. If I had my druthers, "A Star is Born" would win. But I think this will be more unpredictable. At this point, I think "Roma" will be the winner. My dark horse pick is "Black Panther," which could surprise everyone.

Best Actor:
* Bradley Cooper, "A Star is Born"
* Christian Bale, "Vice"
* Rami Malek, "Bohemian Rhapsody"
* Viggo Mortensen, "Green Book"
* Willem Dafoe, "At Eternity's Gate"

About: Another tight race that is fairly wide open. Malek has long been the favorite, but Bale and Cooper seem to be at his heels. Still, I think Malek will win tonight. My dark horse is Bale.

Best Actress:
* Glenn Close, "The Wife"
* Lady Gaga, "A Star is Born"
* Melissa McCarthy, "Can You Ever Forgive Me?"
* Olivia Coleman, "The Favourite"
* Yalitza Aparicio, "Roma"

About: Another tough field, where Close has long been the front-runner. But I feel like this will swing elsewhere. I wish Gaga would win, but I think Coleman wins tonight. Gaga is my dark horse.

Best Supporting Actor:
* Adam Driver, "BlacKkKlansman"
* Mahershala Ali, "Green Book"
* Richard E. Grant, "Can You Ever Forgive Me?"
* Sam Elliott, "A Star is Born"
* Sam Rockwell, "Vice"

About: I'm picking Ali to win tonight. My dark horse is Elliott.

Best Supporting Actress:
* Amy Adams, "Vice"
* Emma Stone, "The Favourite"
* Marina de Tavira, "Roma"
* Rachel Weisz, "The Favourite"
* Regina King, "If Beale Street Could Talk"

About: I'm picking King for tonight. My dark horse is Weisz.

Best Director:
* Adam McKay, "Vice"
* Alfonso Cuaron, "Roma"
* Pawel Pawlikowski, "Cold War"
* Spike Lee, "BlacKkKlansman"
* Yorgos Lanthimos, "The Favourite"

About: I think this is Cuaron's award to lose, and he wins tonight.

Best Original Screenplay:
* First Reformed
* Green Book
* Roma
* The Favourite
* Vice

About: I think "Green Book's" star has faded a bit, and the Academy will spread the love. I'm picking "The Favourite" tonight.

Best Adapted Screenplay:
* A Star is Born
* BlacKkKlansman
* Can You Ever Forgive Me?
* If Beale Street Could Talk
* The Ballad of Buster Scruggs

About: I'm picking "BlacKkKlansman" for this award.

Best Cinematography:
* A Star is Born
* Cold War
* Never Look Away
* Roma
* The Favourite

About: The look of "Roma" was it's most enduring quality. I think it wins here.

Best Editing:
* BlacKkKlansman
* Bohemian Rhapsody
* Green Book
* The Favourite
* Vice

About: This award used to be tied closely to Best Picture, but not recently. Given the musical sequences and how tough those can be, I'm calling this one for "Bohemian Rhapsody."

Best Production Design:
* Black Panther
* First Man
* Mary Poppins Returns
* Roma
* The Favourite

About: I think this one will go to "Mary Poppins Returns."

Best Costume Design:
* Black Panther
* Mary Poppins Returns
* Mary Queen of Scots
* The Ballad of Buster Scruggs
* The Favourite

About: I'm going with "The Favourite" for this one.

Best Makeup and Hair:
* Border
* Mary Queen of Scots
* Vice

About: I'm calling this one for "Vice."

Best Original Score:
* BlacKkKlansman
* Black Panther
* If Beale Street Could Talk
* Isle of Dogs
* Mary Poppins Returns

About: "Mary Poppins" is all about the music, and I think it wins here.

Best Original Song:
* "Shallow," A Star is Born
* "All the Stars," Black Panther
* "The Place Where Lost Things Go," Mary Poppins Returns
* "I'll Fight," RBG
* "When a Cowboy Trades His Spurs for Wings," The Ballad of Buster Scruggs

About: This award belongs to "Shallow."

Best Sound Mixing:
* A Star is Born
* Black Panther
* Bohemian Rhapsody
* First Man
* Roma

About: We have two musical films here, but I think "Bohemian Rhapsody" gets this.

Best Sound Editing:
* A Quiet Place
* Black Panther
* Bohemian Rhapsody
* First Man
* Roma

About: I'm giving this to "Bohemian Rhapsody" too.

Best Visual Effets:
* Avengers: Infinity War
* Christopher Robin
* First Man
* Ready Player One
* Solo: A Star Wars Story

About: A tough call, but I'm going with "Ready Player One" here.

Best Documentary Feature:
* Free Solo
* Hale County This Morning, This Evening
* Minding the Gap
* Of Fathers and Sons
* RBG

About: A tough call, but I'm going with "Minding the Gap."

Best Documentary Short Subject:
* A Night at the Garden
* Black Sheep
* End Game
* Lifeboat
* Period. End of the Sentence

About: I'm going with "Black Sheep" for this one.

Best Animated Feature:
* Incredibles 2
* Isle of Dogs
* Mirai
* Ralph Breaks the Internet
* Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse

About: This belongs to "Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse"

Best Animated Short:
* Animal Behaviour
*Bao
* Late Afternoon
* One Small Step
* Weekends

About: I'm picking "Bao."

Best Live Action Short:
* Detainment
* Fauve
* Madre
* Marguerite
* Skin

About: I have little idea here, but my shot in the dark is "Skin."

Best Foreign Language Feature:
* Capernum
* Cold War
* Never Look Away
* Roma
* Shoplifters

About: A great year for foreign film, but this one belongs to "Roma."

That's a wrap on this year's predictions. Let's see how I do tonight!